"Enhanced" risk of severe storms posted for Northwest Arkansas

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The best chance for severe weather is north of the Kansas City area where severe storms could form Wednesday afternoon if the skies clear and temperatures heat up, according to the National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill.

The first round of storms will push out by mid-morning. This still could change but I would recommend start thinking about a Plan B for those grilling, boating, fireworks plans if the model indicating storms all day and evening pans out. This redevelopment is likely to initially be centered over NE Oklahoma into SW Missouri, and then gradually move into NWAR.

Later today, there is an enhanced risk of severe weather as a cold front approaches from the west, touching off a second round of storms.

Hail, damaging winds and will be the main threats. Additionally, any remnant outflow boundaries on the southwestern flank of the morning storms may locally augment shear profiles and result in an appreciable (yet localized) tornado risk.

We'll be keeping a close eye on it, and continue to have updates on our 40/29 Newscasts in the evenings and mornings.

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Winds will stay strong out of the south at 20 to 30 miles per hour.

Hazards with any storms today will be damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall.

The National Weather Service has placed the Omaha metro under a severe thunderstorm watch until 11 p.m. A surface upslope regime will be in place across portions of the High Plains throughout the day as easterly low-level flow develops on the southern periphery of a weak surface ridge centered over northwestern Nebraska.

The storms are expected to end by midnight, with only isolated showers and storms lingering into the overnight hours. Will we get clearing and how much clearing (sun) will we get in order for the atmosphere to recover and set the stage for more storms this afternoon?

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